The overconfidence effect is a natural bias toward believing that we’re better at something than we actually are. The overconfidence effect can distort belief in the accuracy of a strong memory, estimations of how long it will take to get things done, judgment about our intelligence compared to others, and even the reliability of eyewitness accounts. It can sabotage communication during conflict, too.
- Lowest level of intervention first
- Do we ever really know our loved ones?
- Confirmation bias and dealing with difficult people
- Reflexive loops
- My favorite version of Somewhere Over the Rainbow
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